Friday, December 18, 2009

U.S. Economy: Debt Overhang Will Reduce Consumption

In the U.S., consumer spending represents about 70% of GDP. After decades of an inflationary “crack-up” boom, people are stuffed to the gills with consumer debt. But it appears that its long build-up has turned down, which is a message businesses should heed.

Many consumer businesses have already received the new message of our times: Consumers want value for their money. The days of widespread upper-end fashion and lavish dining are largely relics of the past. Don’t believe me? Take a look at charts of bebe Stores (BEBE), Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), Morton Restaurant Group (MRT) and Ruth’s Hospitality Group (RUTH). Consumers’ changing preferences are reflected in their charts, but we’re most likely only at the forefront of decreased consumption!

A review of the past 30 years of debt/disposable income and debt service payments in the chart below shows that they still remain at elevated levels (courtesy of Gary Shilling’s Insight Back in 1982, consumers averaged 60% debt-to-income and debt service payments were only 10.5% of disposable income. We witnessed a substantial rise in debt from 1994 through 2006, but that trend has been in reverse for several years now:

It’s important to note that in a recession disposable income usually declines. So, in order to return to a more normal level of debt-to-income, four forces should hamper business’ ability to get inside of consumers’ wallets:

1. Consumers earn less, which means they reduce consumption.
2. Consumers stop accumulating debt, which means they reduce consumption.
3. Consumers pay down debt, which means they reduce consumption.
4. Consumers start saving, which means they reduce consumption.

The massive U.S. unemployment numbers also create an interesting dynamic. Typically when one loses a job, debt will initially ramp up as the unemployed use debt to offset the lost income. But for many, the loss of a job becomes a life-changing event: Their attitude towards debt in general and the desire to consume begin to wane. So while there may only be 15 million officially unemployed, there are many more that have gone through the unemployed experience lately, which should dampen their desire to consume for years.

Will we return to the early 80s and early 90s level of debt-to-income ratios? Or will it be even worse this time? Imagine the levels of corporate bankruptcies and job losses that would accompany a decline to below a 60% debt-to-income ratio. That would mean that consumers would reduce their outstanding debt by half. Such a scenario is one of the reasons why we at EWI believe that the current recession is not over yet -- and, in fact, believe that it has only just begun.

Click here to read more about Currency and Interest Rates Specialty Services.

Thursday, December 17, 2009

U.S. Dollar: From Panic to Embrace

US Dollar
Forex Metatrader4 Software Automated Trading Expert Advisors Alerts Forecasts Robots Signals Free Demos

Russian Dollars

My friends mother lives in Moscow. My friend calls her mom often, and every once in a while the conversation turns to the economy, specifically, the strength of the U.S. dollar. Usually this happens when the dollar gets weaker. Their conversation goes something like this:

Mom: Everyone says the dollar is crashing. On TV they show lines at the banks where people are trying to exchange their dollar savings for euros or rubles.

Son: Mom, we talked about this. Every single time you've told me about these panics before, the dollar rebounds and surprises everyone. Don't you remember?

Mom: Yes, I remember, but everyone says it's different this time.

I once heard that there are more $100 bills in circulation in Russia than the rest of the world combined, including in the U.S. Don't know if it's true, but I believe it. Ever since the end of the Soviet Union, Russians have stored their wealth in dollars; later, in euros. The ruble has regained a lot of respect in recent years, but even today, nobody in Russia refuses dollars.

Last time my friends Mom and him had that conversation was in November. At that time, the dollar sentiment was so negative that polls showed dollar bulls in the single to low-double digits. Forex traders, analysts, the mainstream media, the public, they all believed it was doomed. There was even talk of pricing crude oil in something else and replacing the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.

Yet, despite all the crash-and-burn forecasts, on November 26, the USD turned up and so far, in terms of the EUR/USD (the most widely-traded forex pair) has gained over 600 pips. Here's what it looks like on the daily EUR/USD chart (copied from Elliott Wave International's intensive Currency Specialty Service Dec. 15 forecast):

In the weeks prior to the November bottom, EWI's Currency Specialty Service told subscribers over and over again that short dollar position was getting crowded, for two reasons:

1. The U.S. Dollar Index fell in five waves since March 2009. The buck also fell impulsively against currencies like the euro and Swiss franc. If you know Elliott, you understand what that means: A completed five-wave pattern implied a strong and surprising (for most people) reversal ahead.

2. Increasingly negative market sentiment right before the low.

Now that the dollar has gotten stronger, the question is, is this a major turn or just a correction on the way to lower lows?

You can get the answers now with our Currency Specialty Service. You get full coverage of the dollar, the euro, the yen -- 9 major currency pairs in all -- right now on the intraday and longer-term time frames. Click here to start.

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Options Expiration Week

Chris Rowe's Internal Strength Option Trading System Free Video

It's options expiration this week, and as usual volatility should be increasing.

Increased volatility can be a option traders fortune or mis-fortune if the options expire worthless.

Many option trading strategies that investors traders use have limited risk but also have limited profit potential. An option transaction generally requires less capital than an equivalent stock transaction, and thus return smaller amounts, but a potentially a greater percentage of the investment than the equivalent stock transaction. Increase or decrease the capital amount used with options to increase or decrease the total potential return. Using and managing financial leverage using options.

Although options may not be the best investment for most investors, they are some of the most flexible investment choices today. Depending on the option contract, options can protect or enhance the portfolios of many different kinds of investors traders in rising, falling, and neutral markets.

Click Here for Option Trading Education Training Courses Seminars Webinars Workshop Strategies Systems.

Click here for the Free Webinar "Shifting Risk with the Simulated Index Concept" 12/16/2009 9:30 pm EDT

Webinar Description: If done properly, options can be a big part of long term investing. If you have a nest egg that you don't feel comfortable subjecting to stock market risk, but also want to have the potential for a better rate of return than current fixed income, this webinar is for you. This strategy does involve risk and it will be discussed in great detail. Join Mike Tosaw of Know Your Options as he discusses his views on shifting risk, yet maintaining as much return as possible to suit the needs of an individual investor.

Good day and good options trading!

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Popular Culture and the Stock Market Free Report

By Robert Prechter, CMT

The following article is adapted from a special report on "Popular Culture and the Stock Market" published by Robert Prechter, founder and CEO of the technical analysis and research firm Elliott Wave International. Although originally published in 1985, "Popular Culture and the Stock Market" is so timeless and relevant that USA Today covered its insights in a recent Nov. 2009 article. Click here for the rest of this revealing 50-page report here.

Popular Culture and the Stock Market

Both a study of the stock market and a study of trends in popular attitudes support the conclusion that the movement of aggregate stock prices is a direct recording of mood and mood change within the investment community, and by extension, within the society at large. It is clear that extremes in popular cultural trends coincide with extremes in stock prices, since they peak and trough coincidentally in their reflection of the popular mood. The stock market is the best place to study mood change because it is the only field of mass behavior where specific, detailed, and voluminous numerical data exists. It was only with such data that R.N. Elliott was able to discover the Wave Principle, which reveals that mass mood changes are natural, rhythmic and precise. The stock market is literally a drawing of how the scales of mass mood are tipping. A decline indicates an increasing 'negative' mood on balance, and an advance indicates an increasing 'positive' mood on balance.

Trends in music, movies, fashion, literature, television, popular philosophy, sports, dance, mores, sexual identity, family life, campus activities, politics and poetry all reflect the prevailing mood, sometimes in subtle ways. Noticeable changes in slower-moving mediums such as the movie industry more readily reveal changes in larger degrees of trend, such as the Cycle. More sensitive mediums such as television change quickly enough to reflect changes in the Primary trends of popular mood. Intermediate and Minor trends are likely paralleled by current song hits, which can rush up and down the sales charts as people change moods. Of course, all of these media of expression are influenced by mood changes of all degrees. The net impression communicated is a result of the mix and dominance of the forces in all these areas at any given moment.


It has long been observed, casually, that the trends of hemlines and stock prices appear to be in lock step. Skirt heights rose to mini-skirt brevity in the 1920's and in the 1960's, peaking with stock prices both times. Floor length fashions appeared in the 1930's and 1970's (the Maxi), bottoming with stock prices. It is not unreasonable to hypothesize that a rise in both hemlines and stock prices reflects a general increase in friskiness and daring among the population, and a decline in both, a decrease. Because skirt lengths have limits (the floor and the upper thigh, respectively), the reaching of a limit would imply that a maximum of positive or negative mood had been achieved.


Five classic horror films were all produced in less than three short years. 'Frankenstein' and 'Dracula' premiered in 1931, in the middle of the great bear market. 'Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde' played in 1932, the bear market bottom year, and the only year that a horror film actor was ever granted an Oscar. 'The Mummy' and 'King Kong' hit the screen in 1933, on the double bottom. Ironically, Hollywood tried to introduce a new monster in 1935 during a bull market, but 'Werewolf of London' was a flop. When filmmakers tried again in 1941, in the depths of a bear market, 'The Wolf Man' was a smash hit. These are the classic horror films of all time, along with the new breed in the 1970's, and they all sold big. The milder horror styles of bull market years and the extent of their popularity stand in stark contrast. Musicals, adventures, and comedies weave into the pattern as well.

Popular Music:

Pop music has been virtually in lock-step with the Dow Jones Industrial Average as well. The remainder of this report will focus on details of this phenomenon in order to clarify the extent to which the relationship (and, by extension, the others discussed above) exists.

As a 78-rpm record collector put it in a recent Wall Street Journal article, music reflects 'every fiber of life' in the U.S. The timing of the careers of dominant youth-oriented (since the young are quickest to adopt new fashions) pop musicians has been perfectly in line with the peaks and troughs in the stock market. At turns in prices (and therefore, mood), the dominant popular singers and groups have faded quickly into obscurity, to be replaced by styles which reflected the newly emerging mood.

The 1920's bull market gave us hyper-fast dance music and jazz. The 1930's bear years brought folk-music laments ('Buddy, Can You Spare a Dime?'), and mellow ballroom dance music. The 1932-1937 bull market brought lively 'swing' music. 1937 ushered in the Andrews Sisters, who enjoyed their greatest success during the corrective years of 1937-1942 ('girl groups' are a corrective wave phenomenon; more on that later). The 1940's featured uptempo big band music which dominated until the market peaked in 1945-46. The ensuing late-1940's stock market correction featured mellow love-ballad crooners, both male and female, whose style reflected the dampened public mood.

Learn what's really behind trends in the stock market, music, fashion, movies and more . . .

Read Robert Prechter's Full 50-page Report, "Popular Culture and the Stock Market," FREE.

Robert Prechter, Chartered Market Technician, is the founder and CEO of Elliott Wave International, author of Wall Street best-sellers Conquer the Crash and Elliott Wave Principle and editor of The Elliott Wave Theorist monthly market letter since 1979.

Monday, December 14, 2009

Weekly Stock Pick

Buy Sell Hold
This Week in the Markets

Equities might trend higher this week and may even hit a new high for the year with big market players starting the holidays early as usual. This week the Fed holds its final meeting of the year, and inflation data, industrial production, jobless claims and housing reports will dominate the economic news. This Friday is quadruple options expiration which could and should add a bunch of volatility into the situation. The recent better economic news could raise fourth quarter GDP forecasts, but there’s more pessimism out there, but it seems no one is ready just yet to make the big short sell bet. The key thing to always consider is what is the future to be like? Next quarter, next year, and beyond. Get that right, and the money will follow. My best suggestion is go where the strength is, and be ready move fast when the trend changes direction.

The Most Important Global Economic Reports This Week

Tuesday: Euro-Zone & German ZEW Surveys, USA PPI Producer Price Index

Wednesday: Australia GDP Gross Domestic Product, USA FOMC Rate Decision

Thursday: Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision, New Zealand Business Confidence

My Stock Pick This Week

Is a semiconductor manufacturer for consumer products and applications. The stock chart is showing a good low-risk high-reward potential trade setup currently, so I’m selling it short. Their earnings estimates look like crap. The only bright spot looks to be possibly in June of 2010 where they might get a positive quarter of earnings.

Sell Short International Rectifier – Ticker IRF

Sell Entry: 20.17 to 20.95

Stop-Loss: 20.96 or Higher

Take Profit Areas: 19.59 to 18.49, 17.91 to 17.58, 17.27 to 16.95, 15.70 to 15.41, 12.50 to 12.26

International Rectifier Company Profile

International Rectifier Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of power management semiconductors. Its Power Management Devices segment provides discrete power MOSFETs for use in power supply; automotive; and notebook, industrial, and commercial battery powered applications. The company’s Energy-Saving Products segment offers HVICs, digital control ICs, micro-electronic relay ICs, motion control modules, and IGBTs for washing machines, refrigerators, air conditioners, fans, pumps, compressors, various lighting products, and consumer applications. Its HiRel segment provides RAD-Hard power management modules, power MOSFETs, ICs, and DC/DC converters, as well as other power components that address power management requirements in satellites, launch vehicles, aircraft, ships, submarines, and other defense applications. The company’s Enterprise Power segment offers low-voltage ICs, including XPhase and SupIRBuck; iPOWIR integrated power stages; and low-voltage DirectFET Power MOSFETs that focus on data center applications and communication infrastructure equipment end markets. Its Automotive Products segment provides automotive qualified HVICs; intelligent power switch ICs; and power MOSFETs, including DirectFET and IGBTs for various automotive customers and applications. The company’s Intellectual Property segment designs and develops value-added products for licensing. Its Transition Services segment offers transition services, including wafer fabrication, assembly, product supply, test, and other manufacturing related support services. The company primarily serves original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and contract manufacturers. It operates in the United States, Asia, and Europe. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in El Segundo, California.

Click here to review and trial the Trading Software we used in determining our sell short position on IRF.

Click the International Rectifier Stock Chart for a larger view.

Friday, December 11, 2009

Christmas Trading Free Gift

Cash Gift
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Thursday, December 10, 2009

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Monday, 11:07 AM

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On my first trade ever, the worst thing in the world that could have happened to me - happened. My trade went to target and I made ALOT of cash (well, alot in those days anyways).

Why was this such a terrible thing?

Because I leveraged WAY too much and in the process of profiting off of bad technique, it sent me down a multi-year path of bad habits, negligent money management, not to mention virtually NO risk management. I had no rules - only inexperienced "gut" feelings that were guided by my emotions. (If you've ever traded with your hard-earned money, you KNOW what I'm talking about!)

But eventually, I stumbled upon a trading system that promised to help me to become a better trader. They got me hook, line and sinker. I bought - I learned - and I actually saw success.

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Since then, I've created well over a dozen comprehensive trading systems used by, literally, thousands of traders all over the world.

My company, NetPicks LLC, has been around since 1996 - practically since the dawn of the internet. I have fond memories of running my first forex signal service via fax machine. Boy, I'm really showing my age now!

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Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Forex Income Engine 2.0 Kickoff Webinar

Forex Income Engine

Thursday, December 10th - 4pm Eastern

Forex Income Engine 2.0 Home Study Course with Private Coaching

We're nearly sold out, so to kick things off and help fill the next class, I'm going to hold a special "Kickoff Webinar" to teach some of my core trading principles, introduce you to one of my senior trading coaches, give away another copy of the course, and a TON MORE...

(I have some other surprises in store for you, too, so you DON'T want to miss this!)

To claim your "virtual seat", please register below. There is a technical limitation of how many traders can attend at the same time, so make sure you register now and then show up a few minutes early to make sure you get in the room before it locks you out.

Click here to register for your free virtual seat.

Good Trading Bill Poulos

Monday, December 07, 2009

Weekly Stock Pick

Buy Sell Hold
Last Week in the Market

Last Friday’s USA unemployment report showed that only 11,000 jobs were lost in November, and then the US dollar rocketed. First, do you believe the number, and second is it important? One month of economic data does not make a trend. The real trend for USA unemployment for the last year has been up, starting at about 6.5% in October 08 to the 10% it is now. In real terms I would suggest the USA unemployment rate is 15% to 20% and will stay that way for quite some time.

Economic Indicators Leaders or Laggards?

Economic indicators don’t lead the market, they lag them, which is contrarian to many a point of view from amateurs to professionals on Wallstreet . People lead the markets with the beliefs about the markets. They trade their beliefs about the markets whether they are beginner investors, fund managers or pro traders.

Unemployment GDP and the Decoupling Effect Theory

With all that in mind it’s hard for me to see any drivers for stock and commodities prices to continue higher with unemployment as high as it is, and the very real risk of GDP slowdown. I suggest that stocks are headed lower, much lower, and the US Dollar is on a rebound now for at least a year or maybe longer. Also, Asia is still growing, but if there’s a significant downturn in the US market as I predict, the rest of the world including Asia could be included. The decoupling effect is a nice theory, and I’m one to actually want to believe in, but in reality, I have yet to see it yet. In this age of globalization, virus and disease spreads fast and quick so be ready for that possibility so you don’t get killed.

My Stock Pick This Week is the Dow Jones Industrials Index

I think the Dow is at the beginning of a major downturn. In fact a downturn that could take out the March 2009 lows. The S&P500 and the Nasdaq have yet to show similar price action with the suggestion that higher prices are possible near term. We will have to wait and see how this plays out during this week and the end of this month, but the markets are at some critical junctures here to say the least. The markets have been churning and going nowhere for weeks. There’s no leadership to speak of, and investors seem to moving to the highest quality stocks currently. If they already have been that could explain why the S&P500 and Nasdaq have not moved higher recently.

I think we are near the end of this bear market rally that started in October 08, and stocks, precious metals, commodities are headed lower, with the dollar headed higher. Did I mention deflation? No, but I think it’s very possibly coming. The US dollar is headed higher because everyone was shorting it, and gold was the upside recipient of it and now the covering begins it seems.

Last Words

I’m guessing the DOW, S&P500, and the Nasdaq have a Santa Clause rally, and the market possibilty turns down after that. We shall see.

Click here to review and trial the Trading Software we used in determining our sell short position on the Dow Index.

Click the Dow Jones Industrial Index Chart for a larger view.

Dow Jones Industrials Index Chart

Friday, December 04, 2009

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Thursday, December 03, 2009

Options Internal Strength Trading System

Chris Rowe's Internal Strength System
Section #1:

You'll Discover The Direction of the Market -- Before the Rest of the World Finds Out -- in Our Trend And Condition Section!

Have you ever found yourself wondering why the market has been moving higher or lower? No more!

With CRISS you'll gain a true understanding of the direction of the market, allowing you to know whether you should be bullish or bearish.

You'd think every financial professional and investor would know how to accurately determine market strength. But you'd be wrong if you believed that.

Turn on the TV and the radio, and what's the main financial news of the day? It's whether the Dow is up or down, and how many points it rose or fell.

The Dow Jones is what the "Joe Investor" uses to identify the market's trend and risk. But it's a highly inaccurate indicator. Not only is the Dow Jones average disproportionately price weighted ... but it is based on only 30 stocks!

You could turn to the S&P 500 to get a clearer picture of the market's internal strength. But again, watch out.

The S&P 500 is based on 500 stocks, not 30. But the biggest 50 stocks make up half the weight -- and contribute to half the index's movement. So tracking the S&P 500 doesn't give you a fair picture of where the market is heading, either.

In the CRISS course, I reveal the only way I know of to truly gauge the market's inner strength, direction, and risk ... and believe me, it has nothing to do with watching the Dow or S&P 500.

Section #2:

You'll Always Know Which Sectors to Invest in -- And Why -- When You Study the Relative Strength Section!

Once you discover the direction of the overall market, it's not good enough just to put your money in stocks or take it out. To make the absolute most money possible, you need to know which sectors are strongest (and weakest), so you can squeeze every last dollar in profits out of the market's move, whether it's up or down.

Also notice that some sectors can be much more volatile than others. Look at how the oil stocks moved like a roller coaster while leisure stocks moved up and down rather, well, leisurely.

In the CRISS course, I show you EXACTLY how to calculate the relative strength of the 10 broad stock market sectors, 50 more specialized stock market sectors, and countless other subsectors. Being able to narrow down your opportunities will be easy, and will greatly increase your odds of trading in the strongest bull markets (and the weakest bear markets, if you'd like to double your profit opportunities).

Utilities ... tech stocks ... oil and gas ... biotechnology ... health care ... consumer products ... gold and precious metals ... manufacturing ... all market sectors are inter-related in ways the average investor doesn't understand -- but you will, once you complete this section of the CRISS home-study course.

Section #3:

You'll Discover Which Individual Companies to Trade -- and EXACTLY When to Get In and Out -- in the Charting Section!

Ultimately, the most valuable indicator of where a stock is going is price.

Everything the market knows about the stock -- revenue growth, P/E, book value, net current assets, earnings per share -- is reflected in the price, which is the value the market assigns to the stock at the moment.

That's where my proprietary combination of charting techniques can help you find stocks whose share prices are likely to climb ... and time entry and exit points for both stock and option trades.

With charting, we look at price movements in our stocks over short periods of time: days, hours, even minutes.

Here is where momentum comes into play. You've heard traders say, "The trend is your friend." In the CRISS Course, you'll discover EXACTLY HOW to spot chart formations that indicate a stock is about to break out of a pattern ... and move much higher, or much lower.

Section #4:

Money Management. In these lessons, I show you how to maximize your trading profits and manage your investments for greater safety and higher gain.

You'll discover:

* How to profit from both the bull side and bear sides of the market.

* The best places on the Web to pick stocks.

* How to flip the risk/reward ratio of investing in your favor.

* How to use options contracts to leverage your investments and mitigate your downside risk.

* How to collect monthly income on all your stock positions -- even those not paying a dividend.

* How to always be on the right side of the market.

Click here to get your VIP Backstage Pass to the Launch Event

Wednesday, December 02, 2009

Free Forex Training New Video

Flexible Forex
Flexible Forex Trading During Breakfast

We've just reviewed Part 3 of Bill Poulos's new Forex training video series. This one is very cool, and very unique. It shows a "live" recording of Bill trading during breakfast using his new "Flexible Forex" trading method.

Click here to see it:

This is a live, 5-minute chart of the EUR/USD Forex pair with Bill eating his breakfast as he implements a trade.

When you watch the video, imagine yourself in his shoes and what it would be like. Ask yourself if you can see yourself trading this way. I think you'll agree that the flexibility the forex market and Bill's trading method is pretty nice, especially if you're inexperienced & have little time to invest trade the market full-time.

Here's What You'll Learn

How to complete a Forex trade during breakfast, from entry to exit, all before your day even begins.

The 3 levels of learning, & how you can own this 'Flexible Forex' method for life & help yourself and your family.

How to get your hands on these step-by-step 'Flexible Forex' training videos before anybody else, and much more.

After Bill released Part 1 of his new Forex video training, his office continues to get bombarded with emails asking things like:

* Is there a way to get more details on this method?

* Are you going to release more training?

* How can I get started?

Bill is going to reveal all the details of this trading method in his flagship home study training course he calls:

"The Forex Income Engine 2.0"

Bill originally planned on releasing this in January as a way to kick off the new year, but because of so many requests, he decided to move it up and plans on releasing the entire course next tuesday, December 8th.

Free Forex Income Engine Copy

Bill's going to give away the very first copy of the Forex Income Engine 2.0 to one lucky trader next week.

Click here for all the details on how to join the free giveaway. Just go the Video 3 page here, and follow the link after you watch the video.

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Dr Van Tharp Super Trader Summit Dec 3

Van Tharp International Institute Trading Mastery
Super Trader Summit December 3-5
Peak Performance 203 Dec 6-7
Bear Market Workshop Dec 9-11

Our Super Trader program is the ultimate program for traders who are committed to becoming their best.

The mission of the Super Trader program is a total transformation of your trading and your life. It requires a substantial commitment of time and money. Over the program's two year period, you can expect to make dramatic improvements in your trading. Regardless of your previous trading experience, you and I will create a customized curriculum and objectives for your program.

Super Trader Program Entry Requirements

To enter the program, you will need to have completed the Peak Performance 101 Workshop. You will also need my approval based on either a personal interview or a letter of commitment.

Super Trader Program Structure

I have recently restructured the Super Trader program around a series of learning modules. Some of the modules are considered core topics and are required, while others are optional. Depending on the experience, desires, and objectives of the individual, I, along with the Super Trader candidate will craft a two-year curriculum of modules and other specific topics. The following are some of the modules you may complete while in the Super Trader Program:

Peak Performance: consisting of 15 individual lessons (15-30 weeks)

Transformational Meditation: to be done with Libby Adams’ course (5 weeks)

Happiness and Self-sabotage (8 weeks)

Trading Business Plan Development (8 weeks)

One module for each of our workshops.

Position Sizing (4 weeks)

Some of these modules are complete (i.e., the Peak Performance Lessons). Some are just questions Van will ask you (i.e., the position sizing modules, the workshop modules) and some are still in development (i.e., the happiness self-sabotage module will be available after the Super Trader Summit in December 09).

What You Can Expect to Accomplish (If you are willing to commit and really go for it)

First, you’ll be asked to become very familiar with the terminology we use. This means that you should understand the material in Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom very well. In addition, you should read the Tharp Concepts section on our web site and make sure you understand all of the terms, plus the on-line glossary.
Next we ask you to get yourself really clear psychologically. You should have already attended the Peak Performance 101 Workshop. You should immediately go through the Peak Performance Home Study course and take the Advanced Peak Performance 202 Workshop. If you have already completed the Peak Performance 202 course, you should sign up for Libby Adams’ 28-day course at this time.

I include Libby’s course as part of the Super Trader program because I want you to be able to quickly solve or completely avoid the psychological problems that come up in normal day-to-day life. Libby Adams’ 28-day course helps people do this better than any other program that I have ever seen. Van Tharp Institute clients who have completed Libby’s program rave about the personal insights they gained and the personal mastery skills they acquired.

When you are ready, I will ask you to go through the 15 lessons of the Peak Performance Module for Super Traders. Each lesson will take at least a week to complete. People who have gone through this process think it is life changing; it clears out most of the issues that prevent people from making profits. Currently, these lessons are available to Super Traders only.

You’ll have finished this section when you can document five life changing issues that have changed for you through the program. Does this mean that you only have five? No it doesn’t, but I believe that once you’ve documented five to my satisfaction that you’ll be able to handle other things that come up during your trading.

Next we’ll need to make sure that you really understand the key factors in system design. We suggest that you read Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom, and Safe Strategies for Financial Freedom, complete the How to Develop a Winning Trading System That Fits You Home Study Course and attend the Blueprint and Systems workshops, as well as more advanced “strategy” type workshops.

Even if you are trading profitably when entering the program, you may be asked to stop trading until I see that you have met certain criteria. When you think you are ready, I’ll do a trading knowledge evaluation. This will test your understanding of the fundamental issues of trading/investing success. You’ll be expected to demonstrate a basic understanding of how to use position sizing to meet your objectives (i.e., you must complete the position sizing module to receive my blessing for you to trade).

Next, you’ll develop a trading business plan. The Blueprint workshop will provide the basic template for you to follow, but we’ll give you templates to follow and the material from your two evaluations that will really help you. I will consult with you on the business plan until both you and I are happy with it.

The trading plan will also contain strategies you’ll be using during the next few years. If you are already using successful strategies, then we’ll help you improve them. If you don’t have any strategies, then I will offer suggestions for how to create them. We’ll even point you toward resources to help you with system development (not part of the program) if you feel you need technical assistance with programming software.

You also have access to the Super Trader Trading System Playbook, which is reviewed and updated each year at the Super Trader Summit. Here, we explore all of the systems that the Van Tharp Institute teaches in detail. The Summit is an ongoing effort to look at trading systems and how well they work under different market conditions. During the Summit, you’ll also get access to new, planned workshops (if any) before they are introduced to everyone else. You might find that attending the Summit for two years alone is well worth the cost of the program.

There’s Much More . . . Good Trading Dr. Van K Tharp

Click Here For More Information Registration on the Super Trader Summit December 3-5
Peak Performance 203 Dec 6-7
Bear Market Workshop Dec 9-11