Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Free Steve Nison Candlesticks Webcast Jan 31

This training webcast reveals how candlestick charts help you make smarter, more confident decisions – from the man who brought candlesticks to Western traders.

A Personal Note From Steve Nison

“My goal is helping you become the best trader possible. How? By showing you how to fully exploit candlestick charts to increase profits and decrease risk. These are the very same techniques I teach at institutional trading departments around the world. The rewards reaped at this session will be immediate and long lasting. I look forward to working with you!” — Steve Nison

About this Webcast Session:

Steve Nison has been inducted into the Traders Hall of Fame

This will be a 60-minute live online web seminar presented by world-famous candle charting guru Steve Nison.

This first-time ever event is called CANDLESTICKS UNLEASHED

This information is geared to all traders and investors regardless of experience or technical expertise, who want to make sure they are using candles correctly. These techniques are specifically designed to be used in all markets (including for timing option trades) and all time frames.

Many people claim to teach candlesticks, but there is only one correct source in the Western world: Nison Candlesticks… candlesticks the right way.

No matter what you trade you can improve your performance with these key topics covered in this high energy, informative and entertaining webinar:

See how Nison Candles will give traders vital timing advantages in entering before the potential big moves start

Discover the two ways most traders lose money

Discover what the candlestick line is telling you about the health of the market so you know exactly when to enter, exit or stand aside

See how to avoid “Profit Leakers” to help you avoid the most common misuses of candlesticks that could cost you big $$$

Participate in the live Q&A to have rock-solid confidence about what you learned at the webinar

Take a one minute trading stress test!

Find out how to get your markets analyzed by Steve Nison so you can use his trading ideas the very next trading sessions

Take a Nison Chart Challenge

You’ll love the fact that these are the secret strategies Steve has taught at the world’s most prestigious trading firms!

Learn to become a market chameleon so you can quickly adapt to new market conditions

Understand why identifying a candlestick signal is only the first part of using candles successfully

Plus Receive These Special Bonuses When You Attend

BONUS #1: Following the webinar, you’ll be granted special access to view the full recording of the entire webinar to review this valuable training and ensure you understand how to implement these new strategies in your own trading!

(Though the webinar will be recorded, the fickleness of technology means we cannot guarantee that the recording will turn out properly. To ensure you don’t miss any of this valuable information we strongly recommend you attend the live version of this session.)

BONUS #2: Multiple Free Prize Drawing – You will have two chances to win free Steve Nison products worth $595. Prize winners will be randomly selected throughout the the session. (Must be in attendance to win)

About Steve Nison

Steve Nison, CMT is uniquely qualified to help you fully exploit the opportunities candlestick charts present to today’s markets. As a renowned author and speaker, he has the distinction of being the first to reveal candlesticks charts to the Western world.

Mr. Nison is not only the acknowledged master of these previously secret candlestick techniques, but is also an expert on Western technical analysis with over 30 years real world experience.

Regarded as one of the most foremost technical analysts in the world, Mr. Nison’s client list includes Fidelity, J.P. Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, NYSE and NASDAQ market makers, hedge funds and money managers. He now teaches the public the same secret strategies previously reserved only for his institutional clients.

His work has been highlighted in The Wall Street Journal, Worth Magazine, Institutional Investor and Barron’s.

He has presented his trading strategies in 20 countries to traders from almost every investment firm on how to apply – and profit from – these methods. He has also lectured at numerous universities. And he was guest speaker at the World Bank and the Federal Reserve.

Click here to review more candlestick information, resources, and trading software.

Monday, January 30, 2012

Short-Selling High Performance Graphics Company

This week I’ve got a low-risk high-reward short-sell on Nvidia. The DJIA, SP500, and Nasdaq indicies are beginning to hit major resistance now. It looks like to me everyone is fully invested into the DJIA dividend blue chips, with the SP500 stocks looking like more distribution than accumulation is starting to happen, and the Nasdaq stocks looking very strong like they could be the new place to be this year on a case by case basis I should add. A correction is in order here, but the trend is your friend until it changes and the trend is still up but looking very weak and tired at this point.

Zacks Investment Research reports that’s Ace chip maker Nvidia Corp. is set to deliver a weak fourth quarter owing to softness in its Graphics Processing Unit (:GPU) business arising from lower PC shipments. Weaker GPU business has also affected another tech behemoth and arch rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc.’s fourth quarter results.

Advanced Micro reported a 9.9% decline in GPU business during the quarter and also guided an 8.0% (+/- 3%) sequential decrease in revenues for the upcoming quarter.

Major PC makers, such as Hewlett-Packard Co. and Dell Inc. reported lower PC shipments due to shortages of hard disk drives (HDDs). Company officials are of the opinion that disk drive shortage resulting from the flooding in Thailand is having a higher-than-expected impact on the mainstream GPU segment.

Apart from lower shipments, it was noted that some OEMs (original equipment manufactures) are not using graphic chips to mitigate the higher prices of HDDs. Avoidance of graphic chips are allowing the OEMs to keep the prices of PCs in a marketable range.

Nvidia now expects fourth quarter 2012 revenue to be $950.0 million (+/- 1.0%), compared with the original expectation of $1,066.0 million (+/- 2.0%). The guidance reflects 10% to 12% sequential decline.

Nvidia also stated that it does not expect the Tegra 2 mobile chip business to perform well, due to a higher-than-expected sales decline. However, the company remains positive about the newly-launched quad-core Tegra 3 chip (the world's first quad-core processor for smart phones and tablets), which is the successor to Tegra 2.

In its last quarter, Nvidia posted a marginal sequential growth in its GPU business, driven mostly by Desktop GPU revenue growth but offset by Chipset revenue and Notebook GPU revenue decline.

Overall, Nvidia’s last quarter was decent with year-over-year revenue and earnings growth. The quarter’s earnings per share were 5 cents above the Zacks Consensus Estimate.

Though lackluster PC shipment (research firm Gartner estimated that HDD shortage will significantly impact PC shipments in the first half of 2012 and will likely continue throughout the year) and increased competition are concerns, we believe that higher demand for smart phones and notebooks could provide an impetus for revenue growth.

Currently, NVIDIA holds a Zacks #3 Rank, implying a short-term Hold rating.

We are recommending a short-sale on this currently.

Sell Short NVIDIA – Ticker NVDA

Sell Entry: 15.28 to 14.78

Stop-Loss: 16.50

Take Profit Areas: 13.11 to 12.85, 12.56 to 12.29, 10.86 to 10.62, 7.64 to 7.46, 5.28 to 5.12

Company Profile

NVIDIA Corporation provides visual computing, high performance computing, and mobile computing solutions that generate interactive graphics on various devices ranging from tablets and smart phones to notebooks and workstations. It operates in three segments: Graphic Processing Unit (GPU), Professional Solutions Business (PSB), and Consumer Products Business (CPB). The GPU segment offers GeForce discrete and chipset products, which support desktop and notebook personal computers plus memory products. The PSB segment provides its Quadro professional workstation products and other professional graphics products, including its NVIDIA Tesla high-performance computing products used in the manufacturing, entertainment, medical, science, and aerospace industries. The CPB segment offers Tegra mobile products, which support tablets, smartphones, personal media players, Internet television, automotive navigation, and other similar devices. This segment also licenses video game consoles and other digital consumer electronics devices. The company sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, add-in-card manufacturers, consumer electronics companies, and system builders worldwide that utilize its processors as a core component of their entertainment, business, and professional solutions. NVIDIA Corporation was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Click here to review different investing trading software that scans analyzes stocks for different technical fundamental criteria, and low-risk high-reward trade pattern setups.

Click the Nvidia stock chart below for a larger view.

Thursday, January 26, 2012

World Class Trader Double Digit Returns

Just over one year ago, on Dec 1, 2010, John Thomas decided to prove he could turn average Joe investors into world-class traders.

As a result, traders trading alongside John in his coaching program and trading service, Macro Millionaire, are sitting on a 40.18% gain vs. the S&P 500’s 0% in 2011.

It’s no wonder, either.

Over the years, even Wall Street Titans like Paul Tudor Jones and George Soros have PAID to have John consult on their hedge funds.

You can click here to see John explain what it takes to be a world-class trader.

But there’s bad news: As of next Wednesday—February 1, 2012—John’s publisher is
closing the doors to new membership to Macro Millionaire.

You have 7 days left to take a RISK-FREE TEST-DRIVE of Macro Millionaire.

If you choose to test-drive the service, then: You’ll get mentored by the man who spent 10 years at Morgan Stanley as their consultant to the hedge fund industry. Wall Street titans PAUL TUDOR JONES and GEORGE SOROS paid to have him consult for
their hedge funds.

You’ll get mentored by the man who FOUNDED Wall Street’s original dedicated international hedge fund, which he ran with great success through the 1990s.

He saw the tech bubble coming, sold his hedge fund and—with brilliant timing—moved his personal wealth almost entirely into commodities in time to catch the 9-year bull market.

You’ll get mentored by the man who helped his friend, oil tycoon T. BOONE PICKENS, organize financing for a Mesa Petroleum Pac Man oil company takeover in the early 80s, when it was cheaper to drill for oil on the floor of the New York Stock
Exchange than in the field.

You’ll get mentored by the man who spent a decade being mentored by BARTON BIGGS, who now runs the MULTI-BILLION DOLLAR hedge fund Traxis Partners and is widely considered one of the top global investing strategists in the world.

At the very least, I suggest you listen to what John’s trading video reveals about what it really takes to succeed as a trader. Do it before this video is taken down forever. Click here to watch this presentation.

PLUS, if you test-drive Macro Millionaire in the next 7 days, you’ll also get
the service with a cumulative return of 4,344.17% since inception – FREE!

As part of this farewell tour for new membership in Macro Millionaire, Market Authority, John’s publisher, is giving away a special bonus gift.

Take a risk-free test-drive of Macro Millionaire before 11:59 p.m. Wednesday, February 1, 2012, and, as a FREE GIFT, you’ll also get the options trading service that has won on 8 out 10 trades since 2007.

With staggering cumulative returns on closed positions, these are from real recommendations of this service:

2007 up 23%
2008 up 470.29%
2009 up 594.62%
2010 up 2,705.45%
2011 to end of October up 1,052.54%

All in all, generating a cumulative return of 4,344.17% for its members

For the next 7 days, you’ll get a three-month membership in a mystery options service as a FREE GIFT, just for test-driving Macro Millionaire before the February 1 deadline.

The only thing you have to do to get this second service for FREE is take a RISK-FREE test-drive of John Thomas’s Macro Millionaire—the service
putting up 40.18% returns for individual investors in a year when the S&P 500 laid a goose-egg.

Click here to find out about the test-drive.

You can TEST-DRIVE Macro Millionaire for a FULL 60 days, RISK-FREE BEFORE making your final decision.

This is an easy decision because you don’t need to reach a final conclusion today on whether you really want to join Macro Millionaire—you can just test-drive and experience the program for yourself.

Let one of the top-performing hedge fund managers in the world coach you for two months. You get a full 60 days, risk-free.

Follow his trades as he makes them live in the market. He’s handed traders who took him up on this offer just over a year ago about a $4 profit for every $10 in their trading accounts while the S&P 500 delivered $0.

Let the founding father of the international hedge fund industry spend 60 days mentoring YOU into a world-class trader who finally makes real money—no matter what the market is doing—BEFORE you even have to decide if it’s right for you.

If you think there is even the slightest chance you’d be better off financially if you have a top performing hedge fund manager mentor, coach and trade alongside you, then pull the trigger and take this risk-free, 60-day test-drive.

If nothing else, I seriously believe watching this presentation will have an immediate and positive impact on your trading and your profits.

Remember, if you want to try Macro Millionaire, you only have 7 days before John’s
publisher closes the doors forever. The good news: Right now, when you take a RISK-FREE TEST-DRIVE, you’ll get the options trading service with a cumulative return of 4,344.17% and has won 8 out of 10 trades since 2007.

Just click here now for details.

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Profitable Trading Opportunities Using Fibonacci

Elliott Wave International has just released a free 14-Page eBook, How You Can Use Fibonacci to Improve Your Trading. Created from a $129 two-volume set, it’s available free until February 6. Click the link above to learn more.

Trading Opportunities

You may be missing trading opportunities that are staring you in the face. The charts you look at every day could reveal high-confidence trade setups and market turning points, and you can learn how to find them, today.

Elliott Wave International (EWI) has just released a free eBook, How You Can Use Fibonacci to Improve Your Trading.

It features 14 chart-filled pages that explain Fibonacci and provide practical tools to help you formulate and execute your own trading strategy by combining wave analysis with Fibonacci relationships. You’ll never look at charts the same way again!

Created from a $129 two-volume eBook by EWI, this valuable report is offered free until February 6.

Don’t miss out on this opportunity to learn how Fibonacci can change the way you trade forever.

Click here to download your free eBook now.

Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Plugging Your Trading Profit Leaks

Smart traders are always fine-tuning their skills.

Because no matter what they trade, there's always money left on the table.

You may get out of good trades too early... or get into bad trades that drain your account.

I call them "profit leaks."

Yes, every trader has them.

Fortunately, fixing most of those profit leaks can be fast and easy for anyone.

One of the world's top analysts is now focusing on helping the average trader plug those leaks.

His name is Steve Nison.

You probably know him as the premier candlestick charting guru.

For more than 30 years traders have been flocking to Steve to learn his unrivaled candlestick strategies.

That's because using candlesticks the right way can help you plug those profit leaks.

Steve just posted a new video that shows you how you can start benefiting from his proven candlestick strategies overnight.

Click here to watch Steve's video here:

You will also learn how you can get additional free training to:

* How to take a trading "stress test" to determine your trading health

* Discover how you can learn the same secret strategies Steve has taught at the world's most prestigious trading firms

* Find out how you can win one of Steve's powerhouse training products worth $595

Click here to go check it out now before you forget . . .

Click here to review more Candlestick information, resources and software.

Monday, January 23, 2012

Making a Phone Call and Text Message to Sell

Kung Hei Fat Choi! Happy Chinese New Year in the Year of the Water Dragon!

This week my stock pick is a low-risk high-reward sell on MetroPCS wireless communications company. I'm seeing major upside resistance currently in the DJIA, SP500, Nasdaq as well as other major global indicies right now at least in the short-term. Lets watch and see what the markets are going to do this week to determine a more clear intermediate to long-term trend if possible.

Zacks Investment Research says despite the growing popularity of no-contract plans, MetroPCS Communications (NYSE:PCS - News) failed to impress the market, with lower-than-expected subscriber additions in the recently completed fourth quarter. The company reported 175,000 net new subscribers during the fourth quarter as opposed to market expectations of 214,000–250,000. However, on a year-over-year basis, MetroPCS registered subscriber growth of approximately 7%.

The company’s churn rate deteriorated to 3.7% from 3.5% in the year-ago quarter but fared better than the market expectation of 4.0% to 4.2%.

Unlike tier 1 carriers like AT&T and Verizon that have reportedly registered strong sales in the fourth quarter, MetroPCS and other tier 2 carriers like Leap Wireless seem to lack the desired momentum in a highly competitive wireless market. Given the slowdown in the economy and resultant weakness in consumer spending, as well as the clear dominance of tier 1 carriers, the going is likely to be tough for these players.

Low cost carriers like MetroPCS have shown year-over-year improvement, yet stiff competition from market leaders is likely to eat into their market share at least in the near term.

Additionally, MetroPCS has been increasingly challenged by the aggressive rollout of competitive price plans by some of its larger rivals to capitalize on the attractive growth opportunity in the prepaid segment. The ongoing consolidation in the wireless industry through mergers, acquisitions and joint ventures is also making competition stiffer.

The biggest challenge for MetroPCS would likely be its CDMA network platform. Though the company started upgrading its 4G LTE coverage in early 2012, the majority of its services continues to run on a relatively obsolete CDMA network platform, resulting in increasing churn rates over the past few quarters.

While MetroPCS is not in contention for Apple’s iPhones, the company remains a beneficiary of the Android eco system. In fact Google’s Android smartphones constitute roughly 50% of its total device sales.

Going forward, recent trends indicate an uncertain outlook for MetroPCS and it does not look like the company will see significant subscriber additions. Also, subscriber additions are largely dependent on its ability to implement long-term plans like the deployment of 4G services in the majority of its markets.

MetroPCS remains focused on launching the “4G LTE for All” program in the second half of this year and expects to capture significant market share by year-end. Most of the network installation work is slated for completion by the end of this year, implying that the company would be able to support over 10 million subscribers.

Given the rapidly developing market for 4G LTE, the company plans to deploy affordable VoLTE (Voice over LTE) enabled smartphones in early 2012 to shift its customers from the existing 3G CDMA platforms to 4G networks.

The company believes that the introduction of VoLTE handsets will result in the decline in smartphone prices to the $99–$150 range from the $199-$299 range, which will in turn increase the penetration of LTE services in the mass market. MetroPCS’ affordable smartphone offerings should help it pick up additional market share in this environment.

Zacks maintains a long-term Neutral recommendation on MetroPCS.

Invest2Success is calling for a short-sell opportunity right now on MetroPCS.

Short-Sell MetroPCS - Ticker PCS

Sell Entry: 9.37 to 8.64

Stop-Loss: 10.11

Take Profit: 7.83 to 7.70, 7.31 to 7.19, 6.25 to 6.13, 4.83 to 4.75

Company Profile

MetroPCS Communications, Inc., a wireless telecommunications carrier, together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless broadband mobile services in the United States. Its services include voice services, such as local, domestic long distance, and international call services; and data services, including domestic and international text messaging, multimedia messaging, mobile Internet access, mobile instant messaging, location based services, social networking services, push e-mail, and multimedia streaming and downloads, as well as services provided through the binary runtime environment for wireless (BREW), Blackberry, Windows, and the Android platforms, including ringtones, ring back tones, games, and content applications. The company also offers custom calling features consisting of caller ID, call waiting, three-way calling, and voicemail services. In addition, it sells mobile handsets. The company offers its products and services under the MetroPCS brand name, directly through the company-operated retail stores and indirectly through independent retail outlets, as well as through Internet. As of December 31, 2010, it served approximately 8.1 million subscribers, as well as operated 159 retail stores primarily in the metropolitan areas of Atlanta, Boston, Dallas/Fort Worth, Detroit, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Orlando/Jacksonville, Philadelphia, Sacramento, San Francisco, and Tampa/Sarasota. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.

Click here to review different investing trading software that scans analyzes stocks for different technical fundamental criteria, and low-risk high-reward trade pattern setups.

Click the MetroPCS stock chart below for a larger view.

Friday, January 20, 2012

Morningstar Individual Investor Conference Jan 21

January 21, 2012 - All Sessions Are Scheduled for Central Standard Time

9:00–9:50 a.m. Keynote

Where Is the Market Now?

As a value investor, Joel Greenblatt developed the "Magic Formula Investing" strategy, which focuses on stocks with a high earnings yield and a high return on invested capital. Following his philosophy, he's achieved solid returns at Gotham Asset Management and has rolled out a suite of mutual funds. In this session, Joel will put current market valuation levels into historical perspective and discuss the edge that a systematic value-weighted investing strategy can offer over traditional indexing and active fund management.

10:00-10:50 a.m. Breakout Session A

Boost Your Benefits in Retirement

Do paperwork and policies have you confused about your long-term benefits? In this session, experts Mary Beth Franklin and Mark Miller detail practical Social Security strategies, the ins and outs of long-term care insurance, Medicare/Medigap policies, and more.

Breakout Session B

Maximize Finances in Your Peak Earnings Years

If you're juggling a demanding career, saving for your children's education, investing for retirement, and assisting your parents with their own financial affairs, it's difficult to find time to uncover the right investment opportunities. In this session, you'll see how to keep all your investments on track without heavy, hands-on involvement; you'll also learn tips for balancing competing financial priorities. Speakers include Mark Balasa, Leisa Brown Aiken, and Laura Pavlenko Lutton.

11:00-11:50 a.m. General Session

Tune Up Your Portfolio for the New Year

Is your portfolio balanced? Morningstar's Christine Benz helps you explore asset allocation strategies (stock, bond, cash, international), sector exposure, and other data using Morningstar Premium research and tools to uncover your portfolio's strengths and weaknesses. She'll also share what market sectors look cheap and which look dear based on Morningstar's bottom-up research.

12:00-1:00 p.m. Lunch

Provided On-Site

Morningstar Premium Tour

Learn how to leverage your Morningstar Premium membership.

Conference One-on-One

Meet the speakers and learn more about other conference attendees.

1:00-1:50 p.m. Breakout Session A

Secure Your Retirement "Paycheck"

Morningstar's Christine Benz helps you establish a sane, sustainable withdrawal plan using a total return approach. She'll show how using retirement "buckets" can help you craft your stock/bond/cash mix.

Breakout Session B

Smart Diversification Strategies

Beyond stocks and bonds, which asset classes are top picks for diversification, and how can you best employ them? In this session, you'll learn about alternative investment strategies, how to pick an alternative fund, and how to incorporate these investments in your portfolio. Speakers include William Harding, Nadia Papagiannis, and Tim Strauts.

2:00-2:50 p.m. Strategy Session

Top Picks for Income and Growth

Morningstar strategists discuss promising securities and portfolio builders for today's market. If you're looking off the beaten track, our experts also uncover "unloved" funds in out-of-favor areas that have proven successful. Panelists include W. Scott Burns, Russ Kinnel, Paul Larson, and Josh Peters.

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Booking Profits with the Daily Momentum Trader

OK, now’s the time . . . the Daily Momentum Trader advisory is now LIVE!

Get it here right now by clicking the link above.

This is your opportunity to lock in a limited-risk, 60-day trial of Dr. Adrian Manz’s daily day trading recos. If you’ve wanted to try your hand at becoming a full-time trader, or just want lock in bigger profits, this could be your best bet!

60 Day Risk-Free Test-Drive

You get 60 full days to test-drive every one of Dr. Manz’s day trading recommendations. If you don’t make consistent profits following these detailed, step-by-step trading recommendations, you’ll get back every penny you paid for the
service—no questions asked.

One more thing: The cost of this trading advisory is so low—the equivalent of just $166 a month—it may not last. The publishers are already talking about doubling it.

Our Suggestion

Try it out immediately, while you can lock in this low launch price and take advantage of the 60-day trial. Day trading NYSE stocks can provide you with significant potential income. This is a good way to get started quickly.

Click here to review more information and take advantage of the free 60 day trial.

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Maximize Your FX Trading Online Course Jan 18

It's one thing to know how something works but quite another to make it work for you. Trading the world's forex markets is no exception, which is why I'm about to tell you about a very special learning opportunity exclusively for YOU, an active currency trader.

Jim Martens, Elliott Wave International's senior currency strategist and the former technical analyst for a George Soros-affiliated hedge fund, was bullish the buck in November 2009 -- when the opinion was extremely unpopular. Jim stuck to his convictions, because he trusted his method. His Elliott wave analysis signaled a monster move up in the dollar, and that's exactly what happened.

The greenback staged a multi-month rally that rebuffed all fundamental logic and pushed the dollar to gain more than 21% over the euro. The reversal stunned many forex traders, but not Jim.

Jim's understanding of the Wave Principle was crucial in helping him -- and in turn his subscribers -- catch the dollar's monumental reversal. Now, he's offered to teach you how he did it.

Martens and Jeffrey Kennedy, one of EWI's most experienced analysts and trading instructors, have compiled the most useful, informative and downright cutting-edge forex tutorial for Elliott wave traders you'll ever come across. Together, they will teach you the invaluable skills you need to become a better wave analyst and a winning forex trader.

Without leaving your home or office, you will immerse yourself in 4 engaging online sessions with Martens and Kennedy. Each session serves up a set of invaluable tips, tools and techniques you will not find elsewhere. Each session will move you closer to the "next level" -- where you want to be as a successful forex trader.

If you want to kick your forex trading into high gear, if you want to absorb the very best forex trading education EWI has to offer, this is your opportunity. See if it's what you've been looking for.

Jim Martens and Jeffrey Kennedy have over 40 years of combined market experience and hundreds of hours of teaching experience, so you can be assured their teachings are not only actionable; they're market-tested.

Get your forex trading new year off to the right start!

Click here to review and register for this Intensive Online Forex Trading Course Starting January 18, 2012

Click here to review more Elliott Wave information, resources, and trading software.

Monday, January 16, 2012

Taking a Short-Sell Cruise

I have a low-risk high-reward short sell on Carnival Cruise Lines this week. After reviewing the DJIA, SP500, Nasdaq, and global index charts, I'm seeing potential downside now short-term, and very possibly extending intermediate to long-term with the uncertainty in many global economies and markets. The markets have had a nice upside bounce which are looking overbought now, so a correction of some amount is in order here. The question is now, if there is a sell-off, will it be short-term or last much longer?

Zacks Investment Research reports that Carnival Corporation stated its fourth quarter 2011 adjusted earnings of 28 cents per share, in-line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Quarterly earnings deteriorated from the year-ago quarter earnings of 31 cents. For full fiscal 2011, earnings per share were $2.42 versus $2.47 recorded in the year-earlier quarter.

Carnival’s fourth quarter total revenue increased 5.7% from the prior-year quarter to $3,696 million which fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3,786.0 million. For full-fiscal 2011, revenues were $15.8 billion, up 9.0% year over year.

On a constant currency basis, net revenue yields rose 1.5% in the fourth quarter from the prior-year quarter. Gross revenue yields rose 0.3% at current dollars. Net cruise costs, excluding fuel per available lower berth day (:ALBD), were down 1.8% year over year on a constant dollar basis. Fuel price of $680 per metric ton was up 39.0% year over year.

Segment Revenue

Passenger Tickets: Revenue increased to $2,821.0 million from $2,666.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2011.

Onboard and Other: Revenue increased to $847.0 million from $791.0 million in the prior-year quarter.

Tour and Other: Revenue from the segment declined to $28.0 million from $40.0 million in the year-ago quarter.

Financial Position

At quarter end, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $450 million, long-term debt of $8.1 billion and shareholder equity of $23.8 billion.

First Quarter 2012 Guidance

Management expects net revenue yield on a constant dollar basis to increase 1.5% to 2.5% (earlier up .0% to 2.0%). Net cruise costs per ALBD, excluding fuel are expected to be up 3.5% to 4.5% on constant dollar basis primarily due to the higher number of dry-dock days and related costs versus the prior year.

Fuel costs for the first quarter are expected to increase $93 million year over year, costing an additional 12 cents per share. Based on current fuel prices and currency exchange rates, the company expects fully diluted earnings in the range of 6 cents to 10 cents per share.

Full Year 2012 Guidance

Carnival Corporation expects net revenue yield to increase 1% to 2% on a constant dollar basis. Net revenue yield on a current dollar basis is estimated to be down 1.5% to 0.5%.

However, net cruise costs per ALBD, excluding fuel, are projected to be down 0.5% to up 0.5% on a constant dollar basis. Net cruise costs per ALBD, excluding fuel, are projected to be down 3.0% to 2.0% on a current dollar basis.

Fuel expenses are estimated at $650.0 per metric ton. Carnival has raised its non-GAAP earnings range to $2.55 to $2.85 per share, from its previous outlook of $2.40 to $2.44.

During 2012, the company will introduce three new ships. Costa Fascinosa is scheduled for delivery in April, while AIDAmar and Carnival Breeze are scheduled for delivery in May.

Our Take

Carnival has improved its earnings outlook for full-fiscal 2012. The company is also experiencing strong booking volumes leading into wave season which is the crucial business period for cruise companies.

We believe that a strong balance sheet and solid cash generation capacity should bode well for Carnival. The company is poised to experience solid long-term growth in an improving economy, marked with slow industry capacity growth and reviving consumer demand. Capacity growth for Carnival will likely decelerate in 2012 as opposed to 2011 and 2010. The company also recently implemented a fuel derivative program to mitigate significant increases in fuel prices.

On the flip side, shooting fuel prices and a greater exposure to a sluggish European market are the near-term challenges to the company.

Carnival, which competes with Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. currently retains a Zacks #4 Rank (short-term Sell rating). We also reiterate our long-term Neutral recommendation.

Short Sell Carnival Cruise Lines – Ticker CCL

Sell Entry: 36.55 to 34.28

Stop-Loss: 39.47

Take Profit Areas: 30.19 to 29.53, 28.82 to 28.18, 24.82 to 24.18, 17.18 to 16.66, 11.30 to 11.07

Company Profile

Carnival Corporation operates as a cruise and vacation company. It provides cruises to various vacation destinations with a portfolio of cruise brands comprising Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; and AIDA Cruises, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Ibero Cruises, and P&O Cruises in Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company also involves in operation of hotels, as well as offers tour and transportation services. It operates approximately 98 ships, as well as owns and operates 15 hotels or lodges that include 3,420 guest rooms; 395 motorcoaches; and 20 domed rail cars. The company sells its cruises through travel agents, including wholesalers and tour operators. Carnival Corporation was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

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Thursday, January 12, 2012

Trading for a Living

If you’ve ever wanted to become a full-time day trader and actually live off of your trading profits, then you simply must drop everything you’re doing, right now, and watch this new video by Dr. Adrian Manz.

That’s because Dr. Manz lives the day trading dream. He’s been a full-time professional day-trader since 1998. And if you did what he shares in today’s free video, you could’ve potentially gone SIX YEARS without a losing month!

Click here to watch the video right now.

Trading Large-Cap Stocks Is NOTHING Like You Think it Is!

Not only that, but Dr. Manz is a trader who started with very little money and now owns three homes, including a California beach house. He lives a globe-trotting lifestyle most people never get to experience.

Dr. Manz DOESN’T “swing for the bleachers.” Instead, he quietly skims off quarters, fifty-cent pieces and the occasional buck off of trending stocks.

This systematic, low-stress approach netted Dr. Manz 53.2 basis points in 2011 (on a $30K account trading 300 shares at a time).

With the same trading parameters, he netted 41.24% in 2010… 34.8% in 2008… 88.4% in 2008… and 84.8% in 2007… and 42.89% in 2006.

Check out the video by clicking here.

Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Your Money and the European Debt Crisis

A look back on 18 months of analysis and reports on the European Credit Crisis

In 1999, 11 European countries surrendered their currencies for the euro and a shared monetary authority. Barely a decade later, the once-celebrated EU is in the midst of a credit crisis and its currency is facing collapse.

Elliott Wave International's analysts have been anticipating and tracking the credit contagion across the European nations for the past two years. EWI subscribers were first alerted to the still-developing European debt crisis back in December 2009.

The following is excerpted from a December 2010 report from The European Debt Crisis, a new report from EWI. This free report provides important analysis from February 2010 through today that helps you understand what the European economic crisis can mean for your investments. Plus, you'll get a unique perspective on what's ahead. Find out how to access this free report below.

The Credit Crisis Spreads -- December 2010

The credit crisis is escalating as expected. Back in January 2010, when ratings agency Moody's bestowed "investment grade" status on a widely followed index of sovereign bonds, The European Financial Forecast argued that a renewed Primary-degree decline would in fact aim the credit crisis directly at this critical new realm. Our case for the looming sovereign debt debacle rested primarily on two pieces of evidence: (1) Primary wave 3 (circled) had begun in Europe's peripheral markets, and (2) premiums for credit-default swaps on European sovereigns (think of an insurance policy against a national default) were already signaling the next phase of the crisis by surpassing their 2008-09 price extremes. The February 2010 issue of EFF published a chart showing rising Greek, Spanish and Italian swaps and offered this description of how Europe's credit crunch would escalate: "The theme during Primary wave 1 (circled) was default at the individual, corporate and quasi-government level. The theme for Primary wave 3 (circled) will be default at the sovereign level."

Today, the credit crunch is clearly angling itself away from mere corporations and toward whole countries. On November 15, Bloomberg announced the escalation with this headline:

Companies Safer Than Sovereigns as Crisis Cracks 'Old Order' -- Bloomberg, November 15, 2010

London credit strategist Greg Venizelos tells Bloomberg that the "old order" was the one where investors believed large sovereign nations to be better credit risks than corporate borrowers. However, debt is being repriced, he says, and today "corporates are now better credit quality than sovereigns in the periphery." Indeed, swaps on Italian government bonds are more expensive than 75% of the Italian companies contained in the iTraxx Europe Index of European corporations. In Spain, traders deem Spanish sovereign debt to be riskier than all six Spanish companies in the index. Even in the supposedly safe core European country of France, 5-year swaps tied to French government bonds climbed to an all-time high of 105 basis points in November. At that level, more than half of the 25 French companies in the iTraxx index trade tighter than the French sovereign, according to Bloomberg.

The chart above shows another way to view the escalation of the credit crisis. By plotting the difference, or "spread," between swaps on European corporations versus those on European sovereigns, the rising line shows derivative traders' increasing fear over sovereign default relative to corporate borrowers. So, yes, the old order of safer sovereigns is over. But notice, too, that the debt crisis began escalating when the continent's peripheral markets started topping way back in October 2009. The billion-euro question is, "Who is next?" The media is clearly focusing on Portugal, as 5-year credit default swaps tied to Portuguese bonds are setting all-time records. But charts show that so too are swaps tied to Spanish and Italian bonds. Five-year swaps on Belgian debt also reached an all-time high last month. Either one of these countries could be next. Maybe they'll all go down together, but in the larger scheme of things, it doesn't matter. The most important thing to observe is that even core European countries like France and Germany exhibit spiking default insurance premiums, too. These countries are the largest contributors to the $440 billion Facility, the same one that backstops the rest of Europe.

The June 2010 European Financial Forecast said unequivocally that before the storm is over, "at least one, but more likely several, G8 nations will capsize." We stand by our forecast.

The European Debt Crisis is affecting investments across the globe. Gain a valuable perspective on the European debt crisis and get ahead of what is yet to come in this FREE resource from Elliott Wave International.

Click Here to Read Your Free Report Now: The European Debt Crisis and Your Investments

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

Profitable Stock Chart Trading Patterns

Dr. Adrian Manz has discovered what he believes is the Holy Grail of day trading.

He’s identified about 10 proprietary patterns in trending stocks that let him predict, with uncanny accuracy, how these stocks will likely behave in the next day’s trading action.

Unlike most technical or purely mathematical approaches to trading, Adrian’s system is based on his work as a Ph.D. student in group psychology.

Specifically, how groups respond to certain conditions in the stock market.

Click here to see Adrian Manz’s track record.

The Fine Art of Scalping

Adrian’s trading patterns or “setups” have been wowing traders for the past 14 years. He gives them easy-to-remember names based on baseball, such as Fast Ball, Infield Fly, Line Drive, 3-2 Pitch, Backdoor Slider, Switch Hitter, Double Header, and so on.

If you followed Adrian’s published trade recommendations in 2011, you could’ve posted 389 trades – roughly one per day, on average. Of these 389 trades, 216 were winners, 56 were losers and the others hit break-even.

You could’ve potentially grossed $53.22 per share over the course of the year, which works out to a 53.2% return on a $30K account trading 300 shares, not including fees.

A 53.2% annual return is enough to turn a $100,000 account into $843,905 in just 60 months (before fees) – and into $7.1 million in just 10 years*.

A 53.2% annual return is enough to turn a $100,000 account into $843,905.52 in just 60 months – and into $7.1 million in just 10 years.

Check out Adrian’s track record here.

Monday, January 09, 2012

Investing for Healthy Profits

I’ve got a new buy long stock pick this on Hain Celestial Group this week. They are a $1.5B organic food products company that processes and sells its products around the world. Looking at the DJIA, SP500, and Nasdaq indicies, I’m seeing more possible upside potential with the Nasdaq and some of the SP500 stocks than with the Dow Jones Industrial big caps. I think the paid to wait collect the dividend idea is already pretty much priced into the large cap dividend payer stocks, and they could be heading lower from here. I think where the positive upside action is now is with smaller growth stocks with strong balance sheets with increasing earnings like The Hain Celestial Group.

Zacks Investment Research reports that being a leader in natural food and personal care products categories with an extensive portfolio of well-known brands, The Hain Celestial Group Inc. offers investors one of the strongest growth profiles in the industry. The stock is poised to rise as the economy gradually revives and appetites for organic foods get bigger.

Having said that, Hain Celestial remains a healthy option for investors. Shares of the company have portrayed a strong upward trend over the past year, giving a return of 34% considering the last traded price of $36.35 on January 3, inching closer to its 52-week high of $38.47.

Supporting the view is the current valuation of the company. On a P/E basis, Hain Celestial’s shares trade at 21.4x, a 51% discount to the 43.9x for the industry average. On a price-to-book basis, the shares trade at 1.8x, which is again at a 45% discount to the industry average of 3.3x.

Moreover, considering the past performance of the company, Hain Celestial has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the last four quarters in the range of 3.6% to 6.1%. The average remains at 5.2%. This suggests that Hain Celestial has topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate by an average of 5.2% in the trailing four quarters.

We believe that the company remains well positioned to capitalize on the growing global demand for organic products. The U.S. alone has shown an approximately 20% jump in its consumption of organic foods.

Acquisitions have been a key part of the company’s strategy to build market share. Not only have these expanded Hain Celestial’s geographic reach, these have also brought in opportunities to cross-sell its products in the U.S., Canadian, and European markets. Notably, a healthy balance sheet enables the company to target strategic acquisition opportunities.

Following its growth plan, Hain Celestial recently announced the acquisition of Daniels Group, the U.K. based marketer and manufacturer of fresh and frozen foods. The acquisition offers Hain Celestial a gateway to a sturdy food and grocery market that is swiftly gaining ground. Currently, the frozen category represents more than 50% of food sales in U.K.

Further, the company’s strategic initiatives to enhance its portfolio of global brands by acquiring Danival, the manufacturer of certified organic food products with facilities in France, and GG UniqueFiber, the manufacturer of all natural high fiber crackers in Norway, is paying off.

The company’s strong fundamentals and favorable outlook are compelling. We thus, maintain our bullish stance on the stock even in a volatile market. We currently, have a long-term Outperform rating on Hain. However, Hain Celestial, which competes with General Mills and Kraft Foods holds a Zacks #2 Rank that translates into a short-term Buy recommendation.

Buy Long Hain Celestial Group – Ticker HAIN

Buy Entry: 34.73 to 35.61

Stop-Loss: 33.71

Take Profit Areas: 38.55 to 39.59, 40.84 to 41.88, 45.48 to 46.69

Company Profile

The Hain Celestial Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells natural and organic products in the United States and internationally. The company offers natural and organic grocery products, including non-dairy beverages and frozen desserts, infant and toddler food, flour and baking mixes, hot and cold cereals, pasta, condiments, cooking and culinary oils, granolas, granola bars, cereal bars, canned, aseptic and instant soups, yogurt, chilis, packaged grain, chocolate, nut butters, nutritional oils, juices, frozen desserts, cookies, crackers, gluten-free frozen entrees and bars, frozen pastas, and ethnic meals. It also provides snack products, such as potato and vegetable chips, organic tortilla style chips, whole grain chips, and popcorn; and specialty tea, including herbal, green, wellness, white, red, and chai teas. In addition, the company offers personal care products, including skin care, hair care, body care, oral care, deodorants, and baby care items, including acne treatment, body washes, and sunscreens. Further, it processes, markets, and distributes prepared foods, such as fresh sandwiches, appetizers, and full-plated meals for distribution to retailers, caterers, and food service providers; and develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells a line of household cleaning products, including laundry detergent and fabric softener, and dish cleaners, as well as glass, bathroom, wood floor, and all purpose cleaners. The company sells its products to specialty and natural food distributors, as well as to supermarkets, natural food stores, mass-market and on-line retailers, drug store chains, food service channels, and club stores. The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.

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Thursday, January 05, 2012

Today's 50 Top Trending Stocks

What does a successful trader do that an unsuccessful trader can't seem to master? They quickly find and get in and out of the winning trades with expert precision. What does this better than anyone else? Smart money of course!

Big banks and financial institutions have the capital and agility to persuade large and medium cap stocks to move in a preferred direction. It may sound like they have the upper hand, but individual traders can join them in a move and profit from the ride.

Finding where the smart money is can be similar to a shell game, so how can you find where the smart money is going to strike next? The answer is simple: You find the top trending stocks! Strong trending stocks have major volume, a clear direction, and lots of liquidity - A.K.A where the smart money is. Wouldn't it be nice to find a list of current strong trending stocks?

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Wednesday, January 04, 2012

Backtesting for High Performance Trading

A new more sophisticated backtesting tool has been developed by the Zulutrade Team! The all new backtesting tool lets you do more!

Simulate providers performance including custom stop loss or take profit. Eliminate certain currency pairs, or perform any custom settings, and see the results! Compare them with the signal provider's results! Identify ideal stop losses for each provider and protect your account.

Simulate with real life slippage!

Combine multiple providers and identify ideal combinations for your portfolio!

We have tested this new tool in our lab, and realized that in most cases if an ideal custom stop loss had been used, our testing account was performing much better than a provider's account!

If you decide to use a custom stop loss (which we recommend you always do, for all the providers in your portfolio), make sure to find the ideal stop loss through our backtesting tool, and make sure to tick the "safe" option.

In periods of global crisis and huge volatility, the ideal stop loss is the one that will protect your account in the long run!

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Monday, January 02, 2012

Profitable Trading Goals for 2012

I don't have a stock pick this week as I normally do on Monday's. Better, I have a more important article on being a successful investor and trader. I hope you had a Merry Christmas and great New Year 2012 celebration. Wishing you all the success in 2012 and beyond.

Trading Goals for 2012 By Kevin Matras VP Zacks Investment Research

As 2011 comes to a close, and 2012 is ready to begin, it's only natural to start thinking about the year ahead and all of the things you hope to accomplish.

This includes both personal goals and work goals and everything in between.

The key is to decide what you want. And when it comes right down to it, a goal is really just that -- a decision.

Decisions, Decisions

Goals come in all shapes and sizes; big and small, long-term and short-term, simple and complex, etc.

Something as simple as waking up and deciding to go to the store that day is a goal. That probably didn't take a lot of planning. But you did have to write down what you needed to get. And organize your day to make sure you could fit that task into your likely already busy schedule. If you have food in your refrigerator, you can take pride in achieving your goal.

Taking a vacation is a goal. That takes a little more planning. But once you decide you want to take one, all you need to do is determine where you want to go, what you'd like to do, and then make the time to do it.

Goals are not wishes. They are decisions. And once you decide to do something, it's amazing how often those 'decisions' come true.

3 Steps to Investment Success

Financial decisions are no different.

If one of your goals in 2012 is to become a better trader, then decide to be one.

How does one do that? Just like any decision, it only requires a few simple steps to get the ball rolling.

1) Decide what kind of trader you are or want to be.

Do you prefer upward trending momentum stocks or deeply discounted value stocks? High-flying aggressive growth stocks or more mature income producing stocks?

There's no wrong answer.

But this is important because if you find yourself buying stocks that are not in alignment with who you are or want to be as a trader, you'll find yourself abandoning those stocks the moment they hit a rough patch.

The best style of trade is the one that's right for you.

2) The next step is to determine what strategies work best for that style of trade.

In other words, what characteristics have proven to work for those types of stocks? The key word being 'proven'.

For example: some investors incorrectly believe that the best aggressive growth stocks are those with the biggest growth rates. But studies have shown that's not the case. In fact, in my testing, I have found that stocks with the absolute highest growth rates, oftentimes, perform just as poorly as those with the lowest growth rates. How can this be? It's usually because those growth rates are unsustainable. And the moment those sky-high growth rates, which were priced for perfection, have even the slightest downward revision, the stock price can fall back down to earth as well.

I have found that the best growth rate ranges are those that are above the median for their industry and no higher than 50%. That does not mean stocks with growth rates higher than 50% won't go up, because they do. And that doesn't mean that stocks with growth rates in the optimum range won't go down, because they do too. But sticking with stocks with characteristics that have proven to work more often than not will increase your odds of success.

And each style of trade has a set of characteristics that, if followed, will help you pick more winning stocks than losers.

3) The last step is really the easiest and the most fun. And that's doing it.

Once you've decided what you want, and how to go about getting it, then it's time to do it.

And you'll find picking winning stocks has never been easier. Because now that you know what you're looking for, they'll be easier to find.

Think about the last car you bought. Once you decided on what kind of car you wanted, you probably saw them everywhere. They didn't just magically appear. They were always there. You just became aware of them.

And it's the same with stocks. The most profitable stocks that are right for you have always been there. But now you'll be able to spot them.

And nothing is as exciting as waking up each day, and following your proven plan for success.

A long time ago, I read a book on goal setting. And a passage the author wrote stuck with me.

He said: if you want to add meaning and richness to your experience of living, begin now to plan. You only need to set goals for every area of your life. Working toward worthwhile goals and purposes, whatever they may be, makes you feel alive and vibrant.


Resolutions for 2012

So take some time this weekend, to decide what your worthwhile goals and accomplishments will be this year.

And start acting on them immediately, because each year seems to go by just a little quicker than the last.

If one of your goals includes becoming a better trader, you might want to consider our Zacks Method for Trading: Home Study Course. It's an interactive online experience that guides you to better trading step by step. In it, we help you identify what kind of trader you are, how to find stocks with the highest probability of success, and how to trade them so you can consistently beat the market, regardless of what the market is doing. It also goes over some of our best performing strategies from a variety of different trading styles, and it shows you how to create and test your own.

A lot of people jumped on this home study course earlier this week when we offered it at its lowest price ever. That offer expired, but I want to encourage you to make better trading a high priority. So I'm bringing the savings back one more time for Weekend Wisdom readers until the clock strikes midnight and 2012 begins.

Click here to find out about the Zacks Method for Trading: Home Study Course right now >>

Thanks. Here's to a great new year. Kevin

Zacks VP Kevin Matras is our chart patterns and stock screening expert. He runs the Research Wizard and personally developed many of its built-in market-beating strategies. He also directs the Zacks Method for Trading: Home Study Course.